Category: Dailies
Just One Game?
With a long six-month, 162 game schedule, it’s easy to shrug off a blown game or a tough loss. The next day the team can head back to the field and make it easier to forget. Nonetheless, the bad loss or blown game did happen and it does count in the standings when the season ends in the fall.
Last season the Minnesota Twins missed the playoffs by one game, and an extra game added onto the long schedule at that. The reason for missing out by one lone game can be attributed to many different moments, but overall it was the 14-game road trip at the end of August that has been blamed.
In that two week span, a trip that that put the Twins in Oakland, Los Angeles, Seattle and Toronto before they returned to their home comfort zone, the Twins struggled to close out games. They went 5-9, and the losses were late-game, blown leads that devastated the club with a month remaining.
The Twins blew five saves (three by Nathan) to account for nine of the losses, and all nine losses came by two runs or less. The trip out west by no means ended the team’s season, but for a team that missed the postseason by one game, in the 163rd game of the season, it was an easy scapegoat.
After a tough loss like the one in Oakland on Monday, arguably the most difficult loss to swallow thus far, it’s easy to say, “it’s just one game.” That taken literally is true, but if there is one team and one fan base that can attest to the fact that each game counts, it’s the Minnesota Twins.
The feeling last season when the Twins starred up at the scoreboard after a 1-0 loss in one extra game, that placed them one game back in the standings, is unforgettable. Players sitting in the dugout wondering where it went wrong, and fans watching at home looking for a reason why it got to that point was gut-wrenching.
No player, no coach, no organization, and no fan wants to be in that situation. The Twins have faced it once, and know what one game can do. One game shouldn’t make anybody lose hope, but one game cannot be shaken off, and if there is anybody who should know it, it’s Minnesota.
Outdoor Baseball: Its Almost Here
How many times this season have you went to a game at the Metrodome, or even been sitting at home and thought, “This would be a great day to be sitting outside for a baseball game.”?
The times for saying that are nearly done, and while the Twins attempt to make a few more playoff memories indoors, many construction workers are busy installing seats and working on the playing surface.
Just imagine this view after victories next season. It’s no longer a dream, a ballpark is indeed going up in Minneapolis and it will soon be a reality. Make sure to take the survey to let your voice be heard regarding ticket prices and more.
Playing with Heart
For quite possibly the last time, Brad Radke stood in front of the crowd at the Metrodome. Nearly three years removed from retirement, the fans loudly welcomed Radke back to the field as he was honored for his achievements over his 12 year career in Minnesota.
Radke’s achievements on the field are undeniable. He ranks fourth in franchise history with 148 victories, third with 377 games started, fifth with a total of 2,451 innings pitched, and fifth with 1,457 strikeouts. Those are the numbers; but numbers don’t tell who Brad Radke was or what he meant to the franchise.
As he was inducted into the Minnesota Twins Hall of Fame, Radke mentioned something that might just define his career in a Twins uniform – heart. Never was it about the money, or the wins, or the fame. Radke started in Minnesota and stayed in Minnesota; even when things got bad and even when he could have headed to a large market.
To Radke, those 148 victories are just a number. It’s a number that could have been higher had he played on more winning teams, but Radke never was worried about the stats or the money.
Throughout his long tenure with the Twins, Radke became known as a reserved, quiet, but very caring guy. He spent a tremendous amount of time in the community, but did it quietly and often unnoticed.
Through 12 seasons with the Twins, Radke played with a total of 197 different players including two Hall of Famers. He played on some less-than-spectacular teams, but when the turnaround came, he was at the forefront.
Heart is exactly what Radke had, and if everybody played the way Brad did, they’d be better because of it. The prime example came in his final season. With a torn labrum, Radke finished out the season and even pitched in the playoffs. Nothing would keep Radke from pitching, not even the weekly cortisone shots.
As Radke spoke to the crowd, he apologized for one thing: not bringing a championship to Minnesota. If anybody deserved a ring, it was Radke. His commitment to the city and organization was incredible, and he without a doubt had a lasting effect on the near 200 players he shared a locker room with.
To Radke, all fans can say is thank you. While the stats will over time disappear into the distance, the memories will not.
All-Star Representation
With one minor league prospect in Sunday’s All-Star Futures Game, and three major leaguers on the American League roster, the Minnesota Twins had a good group of players on hand in St. Louis to show off to the nation.
Each of the four players played a role in the many events and represented the organization in good fashion.
As the lone representative in the All-Star Futures Game, Rene Tosoni couldn’t have represented the organization any better.
An outfielder for the team’s double-A affiliate, the New Britain Rock Cats, Tosoni in the first half of the season put up great numbers. Tosoni hit .278 with 10 homeruns and 51 RBI to go along with a .480 slugging percentage.
Tosoni didn’t start, but he did enter the game in the seventh inning and delivered a go-ahead double. The World would remain ahead and go on to win the game by a final of 7-5.
Tosoni’s hit was the deciding factor, and along with a shaving cream pie to the face, the 22-year old prospect was named the game’s Most Valuable Player.
Past recipients of the award include Alfonso Soriano, Toby Hall, Jose Reyes, Grady Sizemore, Aaron Hill, and Billy Butler.
Joe Mauer has received a lot of attention since his May return. The two-time batting champion has hit near .400 for much of the season, and his 15 homeruns got him an invitation to the Homerun Derby to compete against stars such as Prince Fielder, Ryan Howard, and Albert Pujols.
As Mauer attempted to become the second Twin in as many seasons to win the Derby, he found himself in a swing-off with Carlos Pena and Pujols after hitting five homeruns in the first round.
Mauer wouldn’t make the second round, but he had a good showing overall, and his yellow Livestrong cleats helped with a good cause.
The big day for Mauer came in the actual game. As the American League starter behind the plate, Mauer had the opportunity to catch the likes of Roy Halladay and Zack Greinke among others. Mauer’s RBI double in the fifth inning tied the game at three and played a big part in the American League’s 4-3 victory.
Justin Morneau opted not to take part in the Homerun Derby a year after winning it, so for the most part he remained out of the spotlight. Morneau was there to root on his teammate, and throughout the events he was seen talking with stars such as Derek Jeter and Josh Hamilton.
Morneau didn’t start in the main event, but entered the game at first base in the middle innings. While he went 0-2, Morneau made a few good catches at first base and gave the ball a ride in his second plate appearance only to be robbed by Jayson Werth.
The final All-Star for the Twins, closer Joe Nathan, quite possibly made the most memorable pitches of the night. Entering after the American League took a 4-3 lead in the top half of the inning, Nathan found himself working through the eighth as a setup man for Mariano Rivera.
The first two outs came easily for Nathan, but a two-out walk and single put runners on the corners with two outs. After Hudson moved up to second base, Nathan found himself facing St. Louis native Ryan Howard in a game-changing situation.
Nathan worked ahead of Howard, and got to a 2-2 count before the lefty fouled a few pitches away. A slider in the dirt ended the inning, and a relieved Nathan pumped his first as he walked toward the dugout.
From Tosoni to the three big names for the Twins, the 2009 All-Star festivities had All-Star representation for the organization.
At the Break: 45-44
There is nothing wrong with sitting at .500 midway through the season. Of the league’s 30 teams, 12 are below the mark, two are even with it, and four of the other 16 teams are two or fewer games above.
Winning half of the season’s contests and losing the other half after six months of play won’t propel any team into the playoffs. But at the break, after just over 81 games, .500 ball is nothing to be upset about.
Last season, as the players scattered, some for their hometowns in the Dominican, some for their homes in Florida, and a select few for the final All-Star Game in New York, the Twins found themselves an impressive 53-42. This season, in six fewer games before the four-day retreat, the Twins sit at 45-44.
The mark places the Twins behind the Detroit Tigers by four games with 73 games remaining in the span of two and a half months. Playing .500 ball the rest of the season will surely end the team’s tenure in the Metrodome with their October regular season finale against the Kansas City Royals — it doesn’t need to end that way however.
Assuming the division winner ends with a similar record as the White Sox sported last season, the Twins will need to win 89 games. With 45 victories thus far and 73 games remaining, the Twins would need to go 44-29 to reach that possibly critical mark.
The fight to the finish won’t be easy, but at the break the Twins have positioned themselves to make a run. The first half of the season has seen inconsistency; in the rotation, bullpen and lineup.
With another bat, maybe in the addition of Alexi Casilla, and a collective effort from a rotation that unexpectedly started off slow, going 15 games above .500 isn’t out of the question, and it surely is a possibility.
At the Break…
…the Twins have a combined batting average of .268 compared to a .278 average from the lineup before the All-Star Break last season. The biggest weakness has been the second spot in the lineup as it has posted a .191 average when Mauer hasn’t occupied it.
…the rotation has a decent 4.60 ERA despite slow starts from Scott Baker and Francisco Liriano. Both posted numbers well above 6.00 early on, but in June especially, both started to find their groove.
…the bullpen has, as a surprise to some, been pretty good. The guys seated down the left field line have posted a 3.74 ERA in the first half including sub-3.00 averages from four relievers.
…the offense has hit 93 homeruns compared to 65 last season before the break. The average may be slightly lower this season because of the surge, but the Twins have recieved similar production.
…the defense has been one of the league’s best with 34 errors through the first half. The Twins have the second fewest in the American League (Toronto), and the third fewest in all of baseball (Philadelphia).
…the Twins have the best interdivisional winning percentage, and have the most remaining games within the division.
There are several keys to the second half, but the three biggest involve one thing at each key area:
- The Twins must get production from the second spot in the lineup. Having Denard Span reach via walk or hit, only to have the next hitter end a rally in front of guys like Mauer and Morneau, won’t get the Twins to the playoffs. Alexi Casilla could be that help, but only time will tell.
- The rotation must continue to grow. Nick Blackburn had a superb first half, as did Slowey before he was injured, and Perkins before and after his injury with the exception of a select few starts. Scott Baker was 4-0 with a 3.20 ERA in June and Francisco Liriano was 2-1 with a 3.77 ERA. If the two can continue to grow and the rotation can improve and stay healthy, they could lead the Twins to the postseason.
- The bullpen must maintain its first half production. There is still room for improvement, but June was a great month for the bullpen, and it has been very reliable as the season has progressed. The Twins must continue to finish off games and need Mijares, Guerrier, Nathan and others to do what they’ve done thus far. Blown games bit the team in ’08, and they need to avoid the same wound in ’09.
The Twins have room to grow, and the growth must take place for the Twins to win a division title in the final year indoors. Sitting at .500 isn’t a bad thing however, and the Twins are well positioned for a second half battle.
Inspecting Credes Defense
When the Minnesota Twins signed third baseman Joe Crede to an incentive-laden deal in spring training, everybody knew the team was brining in a potential All-Star bat when healthy. The previous year, Crede had hit nearly 20 homeruns and was named an American League All-Star before a back injury ended his season after only 97 games.
Thus far in ’09, after just over a half season of play, Crede has hit only .234. He has nonetheless been productive in driving in runners with 12 homeruns and 36 RBI. Crede finds himself on pace for 27 homeruns and 80 RBI by season’s end; numbers that third base in Minnesota hasn’t seen in quite some time.
The offense is great, but Crede’s value extends much further than his presence in the lineup. With only two errors, Crede has the best fielding percentage (.988) of all qualified third baseman in the American League.
The error total and fielding percentage alone tell a great deal about Crede’s value. They do not however tell the entire story. A newer stat, one now used by some voters to award the Gold Glove, very prominently shows Crede’s value to the left side of the infield and his team in general.
The Ultimate Zone Rating, a number that factors in things such as a player’s arm and range, ranks Crede at the top of the league among all third baseman.
Crede’s UZR/150, which is the average number of runs saved over the course of 150 defensive games, has Crede at a solid 27.0; a number that places him first in his position and over Beltre by nearly 10 runs.
With a career average around .250 and pretty decent power numbers, Joe Crede is right on par with what the Twins signed up for a few months ago; and his defense has been a welcomed addition to a franchise known for doing ‘the little things’.
Sitting on Top
With his at-bats last night, Joe Mauer does officially qualify to be a league leader. Now we can focus on making a big run.
Theyll Be Coming
Whether it be this September, next season when outdoor baseball returns to Minnesota, or shortly thereafter, the Minnesota Twins have several players, including infielders and pitchers, who will soon be making debuts, and in some cases, making returns.
While the infield has been year-to-year since the days of Corey Koskie, Luis Rivas, and Christian Guzman, the organization may finally have mainstays currently making their home in Rochester, New York. Several players including Nick Punto, Brendan Harris, Joe Crede, Mike Lamb, Tony Batista, and others have held down the fort at second base, shortstop, and third base. Nonetheless, all three positions have seen a magnitude of players over the past three seasons.
Several players, including Steven Tolleson and Danny Valencia, could soon change that if they continue their success from double-A and triple-A. Tolleson has thus far played in nearly 40 games at the closest level to ‘The Bigs’, while his teammate, Valencia, has appeared in only 15. Both still have work to do, primarily in sharpening their defense, but their bats seem to be getting closer to major league quality.
Outside of Valencia and Tolleson, players that could eventually settle in at third (Valencia), shortstop or second (Tolleson), Alexi Casilla, who turns 25 later this month, has hit well since his demotion and could also play a factor in the team’s future infield.
| Player | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
| Valencia | 71 | 272 | 55 | 81 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 47 | 0 | 3 | .298 | .372 | .482 | .855 |
| Tolleson | 75 | 294 | 49 | 85 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 36 | 42 | 11 | 4 | .289 | .373 | .429 | .802 |
| Casilla | 35 | 138 | 20 | 46 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 6 | .333 | .373 | .420 | .794 |
* Numbers for Valencia/Tolleson are from both double-A and triple-A.
Long term players in the infield may not arrive until next season or further down the road, but the bullpen could see some pitchers from triple-A Rochester anytime the team needs help.
Both Juan Morillo and Jesse Crain have seen the Metrodome this season, and both could have opportunities to return before the second half comes to a close. Morillo has pitched well since he was originally sent down two months ago, but Crain has struggled until recently.
With Morillo’s strong pitching for the Red Wings, and Crain’s recent improvement, the Twins could have options as the season progresses. One other name, a guy that has been in New York all season, is Armando Gabino.
| Player | G | W | L | ERA | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | AVG | WHIP |
| Morillo | 22 | 3 | 3 | 2.91 | 34.0 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 44 | .185 | 1.26 |
| Crain | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3.72 | 9.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | .212 | 1.45 |
| Gabino | 26 | 3 | 2 | 3.25 | 52.2 | 42 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 33 | .228 | 1.08 |
There is a chance that the likes of Crede, Harris, Punto, and others will continue to hold down the fort along with Justin Morneau in the infield, and that the bullpen won’t need any help. But it seems that the Twins finally have aid for their bullpen, and a future for their infield.
On Pace: Pitchers
Several Minnesota hitters find themselves on pace for career highs, and the culmination of some good offense early on has the team on pace to hit the most homeruns as a club in quite some time.
The projections carry over to the pitchers side where some starters are having career years and where the suddenly sharp bullpen is putting up some solid numbers.
** Francisco Liriano is on pace for a record of just 8-16. He has recently begun to turn things around, so the obvious hope is that the loss total doesn’t reach that point. Liriano is projected to strike out 160 hitters in a total of 178 innings pitched.
** Scott Baker missed some time due to injury, and got off to a slow start which has altered his projections. He hopes to continue his recent string of strong outings, but is currently on pace for a 12-12 record with a total of 148 strikeouts in a career high 184 innings pitched.
** Nick Blackburn is on pace for a solid 3.10 ERA, but due to low run support midway through the season is projected for only a 12-8 record. The second-year pro is however on pace to pitch 4 complete games in an astounding 214 innings.
** Glen Perkins missed nearly a month, but with the exception of a few starts has been solid. The lefty is on pace to go 8-8 with a 4.38 ERA in only 148 innings of work.
** Kevin Slowey is on pace for an amazing 20-6 record in 180 innings of work. Due to two consecutive poor outings, Slowey is on pace for a 4.86 ERA. A few other numbers that stick out are his projections for strikeouts and walks. Slowey is on pace to sit down 150 hitters and walk just 30.
** Anthony Swarzak has only pitched in a few games, but has been recalled and is on pace to go 4-4 with a 3.90 ERA in a total of 54 innings. Time in the bullpen however could alter his projections.
** Joe Nathan is on pace for 42 saves and a solid 1.39 ERA. Considered on of the league’s best, Nathan is also on pace to strike out 82 hitters in only 64 innings of work.
** Matt Guerrier is on pace to rebound from a poor ’08 season with a 2.65 ERA. Guerrier is also projected to to appear in nearly half of the team’s games with 80 appearances. In one of the major stats for relievers, holds, Guerrier is on pace to finish near the top with 32.
** Jose Mijares, a year after posting a sub-1.00 ERA, is on pace for a very solid 2.16 ERA in 58 appearances. The lefty is also on pace to pitch a total of 50 innings and collect 22 holds.
** R.A. Dickey is on pace to post a 2.96 ERA in a total of 50 appearances and 96 innings. The long reliever is also projected to strike out 66 hitters.
No longer with the organization, Luis Ayala was excluded from the list. Phillip Humber, Jesse Crain, and Sean Henn were not included due to their demotions. Meanwhile major leaguers Brian Duensing and Bobby Keppel did not have sufficient stats for accurate projections.
On Pace: Hitters
With a 5-hour, 16-inning game, the Minnesota Twins have played 81 games in the 2009 season; signifying the completion of half of the season. Through the midway point, the Twins find themselves one game above .500 with a record of 41-40 (compared to 44-37 last season).
The Twins have some work to do in the second half if they hope to make the playoffs. Some players will need to step up, while others will need to continue their first half production. After three months, many players are on pace for career numbers.
** Denard Span is on pace to hit for a .292 average, hit 9 homeruns, and drive in 58 runners. More impressive is his projection to walk 74 times, collect 171 hits and score 97 runs from the leadoff spot.
** Joe Mauer is on pace to knock out a career high 34 homeruns and collect 110 runs batted in. In addition to those eye-popping numbers, Mauer is projected to collect 201 hits despite missing the first month of the season. Some other key projections include a .390 average and 78 walks compared to only 69 strikeouts.
** Justin Morneau is on pace to reach a career high in the homerun department with 38 and in the RBI category with 131 runs batted in. Some other key projections include 191 hits and 42 doubles; all while hitting .311.
** Jason Kubel is on pace to hit a career high 28 homeruns and drive in a career high 90 runners. The career high projections also carry over into the hits and average categories where Kubel is on pace to collect 163 hits and hit for a .304 average.
** Michael Cuddyer is on pace to hit .280 with 25 homeruns and 92 runs batted in. The thus far healthy right fielder is also projected to collect 38 doubles and an astonishing 10 triples.
** Joe Crede is on pace to provide some of the best production from third base in quite some time. The powerful right-hander is projected to hit 28 homeruns, drive in 83 runners, and possibly most impressively, be the best defensive third basemen in all of baseball.
** Delmon Young has had a down year, but is starting to heat up which could alter his projections. The youngster is on pace to hit 8 homeruns, drive in 62 runners, and collect 124 hits in only 132 games.
** Brendan Harris is on pace for a solid year with projections of 9 homeruns and 48 runs batted in (compared to projections of 9 HR and 47 RBI midway last season) over the course of a projected 149 games. Harris is also on pace to tie a career high 149 hits and a .280 batting average.
** Nick Punto is on pace for 37 runs batted in, Matt Tolbert is on pace for 32 runs batted in, Brian Buscher is on pace for 6 homeruns and 26 runs batted in, Carlos Gomez is on pace for 2 homeruns and 26 runs batted in, Jose Morales is one pace to hit .356, and Mike Redmond is on pace for 16 runs batted in.
Due to lack of games, both Alexi Casilla and Jason Pridie were excluded from the list.
The second half of the “On Pace” series, the pitchers, is due up next.
A Voice From Twins Territory 